SCOR Chair on Mortality Research
In 2023, the SCOR Corporate Foundation for Science decided to finance the “SCOR Chair on Mortality Research” for the next four years (2023-2026).
The Chair is led by Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher, Associate Professor at the Interdisciplinary Center on Population Dynamics (CPop) at the University of Southern Denmark.
Objective of the Chair
How long do we live? With which health conditions do we age? Why and from what causes do we die? With life expectancy reaching unprecedented levels, answers to these questions are vital. The primary objective of this Chair is to initiate research in the fields of demography and actuarial science applied to the analysis of mortality and longevity.
Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher, Chairholder and Associate Professor at the Interdisciplinary
Center on Population Dynamics (CPop) at the University of Southern Denmark
Steering Committee
- Marie-Pier Bergeron Boucher, Chairholder, Associate Professor, CPop, SDU
- Zeying Peuillet, General Secretary, SCOR Foundation
- Julien Tomas, R&D Actuary, Knowledge, SCOR
- Razvan Ionescu, Head of Biometric Risk Modelling, Knowledge, SCOR
- Trifon Missov, Associate professor, CPop, SDU
- Jana Vobecká, Chief Academic Officer, CPop, SDU
- Iñaki Permanyer, ICREA Research Professor, Centre d’Estudis Demogràfics, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
- Carlo-Giovanni Camarda, Senior Researcher, Institut National d’Études Démographiques
The research conducted under the Chair focuses on three main topics:
- Analyzing multi-morbidities and causes of death,
- Forecasting mortality,
- Developing demographic models to study changes in mortality.
The Chair aims not just to conduct groundbreaking demographic research in mortality and longevity, but also to train the next generation of researchers through the supervision of PhD students. An important aspect of the Chair is knowledge dissemination, through participation in international conferences and the organization of seminars in conjunction with the SCOR Foundation for Science.
Launch of the Chair, June 6, 2023
The Scientific Council of the SCOR Foundation has decided to support and fund the “SCOR Chair on Mortality Research” for the next four years (2023-2026). The Chair will be directed by Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher, Associate Professor at the Interdisciplinary Center on Population Dynamics (CPop) at the University of Southern Denmark. Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher is a young researcher who has published numerous articles in various internationally renowned journals.
Progress report, February 2025
The primary objective of the Chair is to conduct groundbreaking demographic research in mortality and longevity, with a particular focus on multiple causes of death (MCoD), multi-morbidities, and mortality forecasting. Initially planned for nine research papers, the scope has more than doubled, with three articles published, four submitted, eight in progress, and five more to be produced within the next 20 months.
Presentations & Workshops
- Workshop Summary
- A new look at mortality models with Multivariate Generalized Linear Models - MGLM
- Cause of death dependencies: impact of their hypothetical disruptions, evolution by age and effect on length of life
- Prospective mortality modelling by cause of death
- Coherent Cause-Specific Mortality Forecasting via Constrained Penal Regression Models
- Mortality Regularities in a Dependent Competing-Risk Setting
- Using Sequences of Life-events to Predict Human Lives
- Conference Summary
- A Three-Component Model for Adult Mortality
- Cause of death dependencies structure and impact of hypothetical disruptions
- Risk of death of individuals with different comorbidity profiles during the COVID-19 pandemic
- Smoothing trends and seasonality in short-term mortality forecasting
- Read the news
- Workshop summary
- Bridging Morbidity and Mortality
- A General Multinomial Model for Cause of Death
- Alternative estimation framework: from single population to cause-of-death
- Modeling age-space mortality dynamics in small areas
- Diversity in Causes of Death: A New Approach Using Multiple Causes of Death Life Tables
- Mortality Projections
- Summary
- "Assessing and Predicting the Impact of Mortality Shocks on Population Trends" Author: Trifon I. Missov
- "Understanding End-of-Life Multimorbidity: An Analysis of Multiple Causes of Death in Denmark" Authors: Cosmo Strozza, Elizaveta Ukolova and Marie-Pier Bergeron Boucher
- "Diversity in Causes of Death: A New Approach Using Multiple Causes-of-Death Life Tables" Authors: Marie-Pier Bergeron Boucher, Sergi Trias-Llimós and Aline Désesquelles
- Program
- Summary
- "Competing Causes of Death: Quantifying the Probability of Dying from One Cause Before Another" Marie-Pier Bergeron Boucher, Cosmo Strozza & Elizaveta Ukolova
- "Modelling and short-term forecasting of seasonal mortality" Ainhoa-Elena Legera, Silvia Rizzi & Ugofilippo Basellini
- "Understanding end-of-life multimorbidity: An analysis of Multiple Causes of Death in Denmark" Cosmo Strozza1, Elizaveta Ukolova1, Marie-Pier Bergeron Boucher1
- "Mortality Patterns in Multimorbid PopulationsInsights from the Czech National Health Registry (2014–2023)" Bety Ukolova & Cosmo Strozza
- Read the summary of the Young Demographers Conference in Prague (CZ) conference - February 5-7, 2025
- Conference Presentation - 30th International Population Conference in Brisbane (AU) - July 13-18, 2025 - Author: Elizabet Ukolova
- Read the summary of the 30th International Population Conference in Brisbane (AU) - July 13-18, 2025
- Conference presentation – Young Demographers Conference in Prague (CZ) - February 5, 2025 - Author: Bety Ukolova
- Read the summary of the 16th Young Demographers Conference in Prague (CZ) conference
- Conference presentation "Attribution of deaths to multiple causes", September 17, 2024 - Author: Elizabet Ukolova
- Conference presentation "Mortality by Independent and Dependent Causes of Death", Olomouc (CZ), May 22-24, 2024. Author: Elizabet Ukolova.
Webinars & Videos
- Antoine Burg (SCOR) proposes a new look at mortality models with Generalized Linear Models | Video
- Carlo G. Camarda (INED) proposes an approach for coherent cause-specific mortality forecasting via constrained penalized regression models | Video
- Trifon Missov (Cpop) discusses mortality regularities in a dependent competing-risk setting | Video
- Elizaveta Ukolova (CPop) discusses cause of death dependencies: effect on length of life and impact of their hypothetical disruptions | Video
Reports
Research Articles
- "What if dependent causes of death were independent?" June 9, 2025 Author: Elizabet Ukolova
- "Modelling and short-term forecasting of seasonal mortality" January 2025. Authors: Ainhoa-Elena Leger, Silvia Rizzi and Ugofilippo Basellini
- "Modelling and short-term forecasting of seasonal mortality" January 2025. Supplementary Materials. Authors: Ainhoa-Elena Leger, Silvia Rizzi and Ugofilippo Basellini
- "A Comparative Analysis of Regional Mortality Differences Using Underlying and Multiple Causes of Death: A Case Study of Czechi" October 9, 2024. Author: Elizabet Ukolova.
- “Month-to-month all-cause mortality forecasting: a method allowing for changes in seasonal patterns" September 9, 2024. Authors: Ainhoa-Elena Léger, Silvia Rizzi.
- “Makeham mortality models as mixtures: Advancing mortality estimations through competing risks frameworks” September 9, 2024. Authors: Silvio C. Patricio and Trifon I. Missov.
