In 2023, the SCOR Corporate Foundation for Science decided to finance the “SCOR Chair on Mortality Research” for the next four years (2023-2026).
The Chair is led by Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher, Associate Professor at the Interdisciplinary Center on Population Dynamics (CPop) at the University of Southern Denmark.
Objective of the Chair
How long do we live? With which health conditions do we age? Why and from what causes do we die? With life expectancy reaching unprecedented levels, answers to these questions are vital. The primary objective of this Chair is to initiate research in the fields of demography and actuarial science applied to the analysis of mortality and longevity.
Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher, Chairholder and Associate Professor at the Interdisciplinary
Center on Population Dynamics (CPop) at the University of Southern Denmark
Steering Committee
- Marie-Pier Bergeron Boucher, Chairholder, Associate Professor, CPop, SDU
- Zeying Peuillet, General Secretary, SCOR Foundation
- Julien Tomas, R&D Actuary, Knowledge, SCOR
- Razvan Ionescu, Head of Biometric Risk Modelling, Knowledge, SCOR
- Trifon Missov, Associate professor, CPop, SDU
- Jana Vobecká, Chief Academic Officer, CPop, SDU
- Iñaki Permanyer, ICREA Research Professor, Centre d’Estudis Demogràfics, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
- Carlo-Giovanni Camarda, Senior Researcher, Institut National d’Études Démographiques
The research conducted under the Chair focuses on three main topics:
- Analyzing multi-morbidities and causes of death,
- Forecasting mortality,
- Developing demographic models to study changes in mortality.
The Chair aims not just to conduct groundbreaking demographic research in mortality and longevity, but also to train the next generation of researchers through the supervision of PhD students. An important aspect of the Chair is knowledge dissemination, through participation in international conferences and the organization of seminars in conjunction with the SCOR Foundation for Science.
Chair News: Scientific Articles & Conferences
SCOR Chair on Mortality Research - Workshop in Paris (FR), November 7-8, 2024. Summary.
Presentations & Video:
• Bridging Morbidity and Mortality (Presentation)
• A General Multinomial Model for Cause of Death (Presentation)
• Alternative estimation framework: from single population to cause-of-death (Presentation)
• Modeling age-space mortality dynamics in small areas (Presentation)
• Diversity in Causes of Death: A New Approach Using Multiple Causes of Death Life Tables (Presentation)
• Mortality Projections (Presentation)
• Interview with Chairholder Marie-Pier Bergeron Boucher on the progress to date and the next research steps (Video)
Conference presentation "Attribution of deaths to multiple causes", September 17, 2024 - Author: Elizabet Ukolova. Read the presentation.
People usually die with several causes of death. However, how these causes of death interact with each other is not yet well understood. We propose the application of causal pie models to (i) measure the importance of individual causes of death within leading cause-of-death sets, and (ii) model the most probable causal relationships between these causes within the sets. The analysis focuses on the USA.
Two research articles of the Chair, September 9, 2024. Authors: Ainhoa-Elena Léger, Silvia Rizzi, Silvio C. Patricio and Trifon I. Missov.
Read more.
Two articles by the Chair’s researchers were published in the American Journal of Epidemiology and Demographic Research: “Month-to-month all-cause mortality forecasting: a method allowing for changes in seasonal patterns” and “Makeham mortality models as mixtures: Advancing mortality estimations through competing risks frameworks".
Conference presentation "Mortality by Independent and Dependent Causes of Death", Olomouc (CZ), May 22-24, 2024. Author: Elizabet Ukolova. Summary.
Read the presentation (CZ).
Contributions to the European Population Conference in Edinburgh (UK), June 12-15, 2024. Authors: PhD student Elizaveta Ukolova, Trifon I. Missov, Postdoc Cosmo Strozza and Associate Professor Silvia Rizzi (with a co-author). Summary.
Read more.
Presentations & Articles:
• A Three-Component Model for Adult Mortality (Presentation)
• Cause of death dependencies structure and impact of hypothetical disruptions (Presentation)
• Risk of death of individuals with different comorbidity profiles during the COVID-19 pandemic (Presentation)
• Smoothing trends and seasonality in short-term mortality forecasting (Presentation)
• Risk of death of individuals with different comorbidity profiles during the COVID-19 pandemic (Article)
• Smoothing trends and seasonality in short-term mortality forecasting (Article)
SCOR Chair on Mortality Research - Workshop in Paris (FR), April 4-5, 2024. Program
Presentations & Videos:
• A new look at mortality models with Multivariate Generalized Linear Models - MGLM (Presentation)
• Cause of death dependencies: impact of their hypothetical disruptions, evolution by age and effect on length of life (Presentation)
• Prospective mortality modelling by cause of death (Presentation)
• Coherent Cause-Specific Mortality Forecasting via Constrained Penal Regression Models (Presentation)
• Mortality Regularities in a Dependent Competing-Risk Setting (Presentation)
• Using Sequences of Life-events to Predict Human Lives (Presentation)
• Antoine Burg (SCOR) proposes a new look at mortality models with Generalized Linear Models (Video)
• Carlo G. Camarda (INED) proposes an approach for coherent cause-specific mortality forecasting via constrained penalized regression models
(Video)
• Trifon Missov (Cpop) discusses mortality regularities in a dependent competing-risk setting (Video)
• Elizaveta Ukolova (CPop) discusses cause of death dependencies: effect on length of life and impact of their hypothetical disruptions (Video)
Conference presentation - Young Demographers Conference in Prague (CZ) - February 7, 2024 - Author: Elizabet Ukolova. Summary.
Read the presentation
News on the Launch of the Chair, June 6, 2023. Read more.
The Scientific Council of the SCOR Foundation has decided to support and fund the “SCOR Chair on Mortality Research” for the next four years (2023-2026). The Chair will be directed by Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher, Associate Professor at the Interdisciplinary Center on Population Dynamics (CPop) at the University of Southern Denmark. Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher is a young researcher who has published numerous articles in various internationally renowned journals.
